Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 15.747997 18.335118 21.149819 24.431286 28.143162 32.202842 36.969810
2025-05-25 11.077678 14.535864 18.685750 23.991779 30.550760 38.344857 48.254626
2025-06-01 8.294760 11.996937 16.802503 23.405921 32.138614 43.175063 58.042249
2025-06-08 6.255063 9.865326 14.885794 22.224840 32.497345 46.156986 65.441878
2025-06-15 5.402312 9.155492 14.677999 23.163384 35.586468 52.773817 77.931245
2025-06-22 4.613401 8.367049 14.189101 23.553684 37.833415 58.302053 89.234168
2025-06-29 3.812114 7.397051 13.253867 23.102588 38.717762 61.864476 97.906440
2025-07-06 3.086283 6.409775 12.127438 22.170594 38.706576 64.018266 104.565812
2025-07-13 2.866619 6.279500 12.391377 23.491931 42.299496 71.791008 120.043555
2025-07-20 2.646808 6.106574 12.546944 24.623237 45.644898 79.361979 135.624880
2025-07-27 2.392769 5.818937 12.450186 25.285815 48.233693 85.864274 149.872008
2025-08-03 2.114806 5.430057 12.107432 25.454548 49.963922 91.050047 162.271502
2025-08-10 1.782832 4.888248 11.448314 25.068923 50.876228 95.258487 173.892287
2025-08-17 1.478980 4.349747 10.727196 24.503861 51.463506 99.054745 185.262915
2025-08-24 1.222927 3.862447 10.030190 23.887471 51.876787 102.555457 196.338700
2025-08-31 0.972300 3.319697 9.112262 22.682077 51.018868 103.702397 203.376259
2025-09-07 0.893814 3.226399 9.208379 23.636617 54.467239 112.836465 224.944186
2025-09-14 0.793789 3.044572 9.061639 24.033676 56.815560 120.074973 243.507422
2025-09-21 0.666874 2.743854 8.566564 23.574629 57.345521 123.912791 256.088184
2025-09-28 0.540486 2.403168 7.902774 22.626173 56.735541 125.498123 264.563409
2025-10-05 0.517300 2.410916 8.178389 23.970817 61.189898 137.215193 292.622720
2025-10-12 0.488139 2.389225 8.368203 25.121935 65.302063 148.476848 320.345390
2025-10-19 0.446163 2.306732 8.369964 25.796057 68.392956 157.856451 344.893326